Stop Guessing Fights.
Start Winning Them.

FightEdge is powered by a proprietary AI model built from the ground up — not a generic wrapper. Our in-house prediction engine gives everyday MMA fans the same data-driven edge that sharp bettors use. Full fight analysis in minutes, not hours.

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No charge for 7 days. Cancel anytime. Free tier available forever.
66.9%
Verified Accuracy
91%
When We're Confident
5,000
Sims Per Fight
149
ML Features

Everything You Need For Every Fight

One platform. Full analysis. No guesswork.

⚔️

Winner Predictions

Probability-based picks with confidence zones. See exactly WHY each prediction was made through signal attribution.

🥊

Method Breakdown

KO/TKO, Submission, and Decision probabilities for each fighter. Know HOW the fight is likely to end.

📊

5,000 Fight Simulations

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations per fight using our in-house engine — models striking, takedowns, submissions, fatigue, and damage round-by-round.

💰

Value Finder

Live odds from multiple sportsbooks compared against model predictions. Find edges where the market is wrong. Kelly-optimal bet sizing.

🧠

Expert + Community Consensus

Aggregated picks from MMA Intel, DRatings, and Reddit sentiment. See where experts agree or disagree with the model.

🎲

Parlay Builder

Interactive parlay optimizer with live probability calculations, fair odds, and auto-generated Lockness Monster and Method Monster parlays.

📖

Fight Narratives

AI-generated breakdowns analyzing striking matchups, BJJ threats, cardio advantages, and experience factors — powered by our in-house analysis engine for every fight.

📈

Line Movement Tracking

Detect sharp money, steam moves, and reverse lines. Know when the smart money is moving before the market adjusts.

🎯

Personal Bet Tracker

Log your bets, track your ROI, and see your personal profit curve over time. Know exactly how profitable you are.

Under the Hood

Built on real data science, not vibes

1

Data

6,600+ fights with per-round stats, live odds, expert picks, Reddit sentiment

2

Model

Our proprietary XGBoost + LightGBM ensemble — 149 features built in-house including Elo ratings and P4P scores

3

Simulate

5,000 Monte Carlo fight simulations modeling round-by-round striking, grappling, and fatigue

4

Blend

All signals fused with odds arbitration — model, sims, experts, and market data combined

5

Deliver

Full transparency: probabilities, methods, stat projections, narratives, and signal attribution

Why FightEdge?

Most prediction tools give you a name with no explanation. We give you the full picture.

Other Prediction Tools

  • Give you a name and nothing else
  • Claim 85%+ accuracy with no proof
  • Hide methodology behind paywalls
  • No per-fight stat projections
  • No calibration or accuracy tracking
  • Only cover numbered events

FightEdge

  • Shows exactly WHY each pick was made
  • 66.9% overall — 91% on confident picks
  • Open methodology — verify our calibration yourself
  • Per-round strikes, TDs, subs from 5K simulations
  • Published Brier score, ECE, and live accuracy tracking
  • Every UFC event — Fight Nights + Numbered + full card
  • Free tier forever — try Pro free for 7 days

Built For People Who Want to Win

You don't need to be a data scientist or a professional bettor. FightEdge does the heavy lifting — you make the decisions.

🎯
Casual Fans
Know who's going to win before the fight starts. Impress your friends with data-backed picks instead of gut feelings.
💰
Sports Bettors
Find value where the books are wrong. Our model spots edges the market misses — when we say 60%, the fighter wins 91% of the time.
📈
Fantasy Players
Per-round strike projections, takedown numbers, and control time estimates from 5,000 simulations per fight. Optimize your lineups.

Verified Accuracy. Zero BS.

Our 66.9% accuracy is walk-forward validated — trained on pre-2024 data, tested on 1,145 fights the model never saw. No cherry-picking, no data leakage.

91%
Accuracy when model says 60-65%
100%
Accuracy on highest-confidence picks
0.23
Brier Score (lower = better calibrated)
"When FightEdge says 60%, the fighter actually wins 91% of the time. The model is consistently under-confident — the real edge is larger than what we report."
Published calibration metrics
Open methodology — verify it yourself
No inflated numbers
Live accuracy tracking

Ready to start winning?

Try FightEdge Pro free for 7 days. Full access to every feature. Cancel anytime — you won't be charged a cent.

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No charge during trial. $14.99/mo or $99/yr after. Free tier always available.