UFC fight-week research

See our model's UFC picks before the fight. Check the grades after.

Preview up to three of this card's picks free, each with a one-line reason, once its analysis is out. Misses stay on the public record.

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This card UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan · October 10, 2026 · 12 fights

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Previous fight week 6 of 14 winner picks correct 42.9% UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Oct 3, 2026 See every pick, hits and misses

Picture of a past card's free preview: three fights, each with the model's pick, a confidence label such as LEAN or SOLID, and a one-line reason. — Example from a past card's free preview. Picture captured Sep 25, 2026. A card's free preview shows up to three picks, each with a reason.

Published before the fightPicks go on the record first, then get scored against the result.
Public receipts286 graded picks on the record, misses included.
15,000 simulations per fightThey shape the method and round outlook in each report.

A lot of fight-week picks can't be checked.

A screenshot shows the win. It rarely shows the misses.
The sportsbook app shows a price. It doesn't show a reason.
A gut read leaves no record to learn from.

FightEdge keeps a record you can check.

How it works

Read the matchup
See the model's pick for the fight and a reason behind it.
Put the price beside it
See the model's number next to the market price, so a gap is easy to spot.
Check the receipt
After the fight, the pick is graded on the public record, win or lose.

What you'll use on fight week

A card on the FightEdge events page: event name, date, fight count, the main event and the first five fights, with a report-ready tag.

See the whole card at a glance

Every upcoming card, its fights and whether its report is ready. The free preview shows up to three picks; Pro opens every fight.

A fight page: the model leans Rinya Nakamura over Brady Hiestand, while the market at report time has Nakamura at 76 percent, well above the model.

Read the model next to the market

Each free-preview fight page shows the model's lean and one supporting reason; Pro fight pages add the price at report time when one was recorded. A gap is a question, not a bet.

Proof Center receipts for recent cards, bad nights included, such as 4 correct out of 14.

Check every card after it's graded

The Proof Center keeps each card's graded picks, the good nights and the bad ones.

Screens captured Sep 25, 2026. Picks and prices change every card.

Trust has to survive the result.

Picks are published before the fight, then scored against the result. Misses stay on the record next to the hits, so you can judge the model for yourself.

The public record

170 of 286

winner picks correct (59.4%). Hits and misses count the same.

How each confidence group has done
Model's confidence	Correct	Rate
65%+	28 of 40	70.0%
57-64%	34 of 55	61.8%
50-56%	107 of 190	56.3%

Market default: 1 of 1. Fights where a fighter had little or no UFC history, so the pick followed a strong betting favorite. They count in the record above.

Recent cards, newest first

Shown whatever the result. One card is a small sample; judge the full record.

The Proof Center also compares the model with the closing betting price, and shows that result either way.

Open the Proof Center

Free or Pro

Free

$0 No payment card needed

Up to three of the model's picks on each card's free preview
The Proof Center: every graded card, misses included
Fighter search, rankings and profiles
With a free account: save picks, follow fighters and keep the card in your workspace

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The card preview and the Proof Center need no account.

Pro

$14.99/mo Billed monthly · cancel anytime

Every fight on the card, with full reports and reasoning
Line movement, and Value Finder to flag where the model and the price disagree
Fight Week HQ, watchlist alerts and your own ROI tracking

Start the 7-day Pro trial

7-day free trial for eligible new subscribers. Payment card required. After the trial, Pro renews at $14.99 a month or $99 a year, depending on the plan you choose, until you cancel. Cancel anytime from the billing section of your profile; cancel before the trial ends and you won't be charged.

Straight answers

Does FightEdge guarantee wins?

No. FightEdge gives a probability and a reason, and the model gets fights wrong. It is research, not betting advice. Only bet what you can afford to lose.

What is free?

The card preview (up to three of the model's picks) and the Proof Center need no account. A free account costs nothing and needs no payment card; it lets you save picks and follow fighters. Pro unlocks every fight on the card and the full fight-week tools.

How do I verify the record?

Open the Proof Center. It shows the graded record, each card's receipt, the confidence groups, and a comparison with the closing betting price. Hits and misses count the same.

What happens after the trial?

The 7-day trial is for eligible new subscribers and needs a payment card. After it ends, Pro renews at $14.99 a month or $99 a year, depending on your plan, until you cancel. Cancel anytime from the billing section of your profile; cancel before the trial ends and you won't be charged. If paid access ends, your account returns to Free.

Is FightEdge a sportsbook?

No. FightEdge is research software for UFC fight week. It doesn't take bets or hold betting funds, and it isn't betting or financial advice.

Are you affiliated with the UFC?

No. FightEdge is made by Scene Zero LLC and is not affiliated with the UFC or Zuffa, LLC.

See the picks now. Check the grades after.

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan · October 10, 2026