UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
May 2, 2026 •
Fight-by-fight prediction accuracy
3
Fights
3
Scored Picks
2
Correct
67%
Accuracy
Method Tracking
1/2 exact methods
Exact Method Accuracy
50%
Winner + finish bucket both correct
Data Coverage
1
0 missing result method • 1 missing predicted method
Post-Fight Recap
The model went 2/3 (67%) on this card. Exact methods landed 1/2 (50%). Best call: Rahiki at 50% confidence. Biggest miss: Tuivasa at 50% confidence. Solid card for the model.
Fight-by-Fight Results
| Fighter A | Fighter B | Predicted | Confidence | Pred Method | Actual Winner | Actual Method | Scored | Source | Winner Result | Method Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marwan Rahiki ← pick | Ollie Schmid | Rahiki |
50%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO0% | Rahiki | KO/TKO | May 21, 04:01 AM | Owner backfill | Correct | Exact |
| Tai Tuivasa ← pick | Louie Sutherland | Tuivasa |
50%
Coin flip
|
Unknown | Sutherland | DEC | May 21, 04:01 AM | Owner backfill | Wrong | No pick |
| Ben Johnston | Wes Schultz ← pick | Schultz |
50%
Coin flip
|
DEC0% | Schultz | SUB | May 21, 04:01 AM | Owner backfill | Correct | Miss |