Proof & Records

Miss Autopsy Archive

Recorded model misses, review tags and available post-event reviews.

122
Tracked Misses
25
Events With Misses
Public
Review Mode
April 4, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Barbosa vs. Gatto

5 misses Audit ok

Dione Barbosa vs Melissa Gatto

Model had Melissa Gatto at 54%. Actual: Dione Barbosa by DEC.
DEC

Azamat Bekoev vs Tresean Gore

Model had Azamat Bekoev at 57%. Actual: Tresean Gore by SUB.
SUB

Lando Vannata vs Darrius Flowers

Model had Lando Vannata at 68%. Actual: Darrius Flowers by KO/TKO.
KO/TKO

Guilherme Pat vs Thomas Petersen

Model had Guilherme Pat at 55%. Actual: Thomas Petersen by DEC.
DEC

Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan

Model had Chris Duncan at 54%. Actual: Renato Moicano by SUB.
SUB
Post-event review excerpt 
## FightEdge Post-Event Audit: UFC Fight Night 2026-04-04

### What Held
- Overall accuracy at 61.5% (8/13) remains serviceable for a card with several close matchups.
- Highest-confidence pick of the night (Yakhyaev at 75.7%) converted correctly via submission.
- Mid-tier confidence selections (Costa 65.0%, McMillen 61.1%) both landed as expected with KO/TKO finishes.
- Low-confidence coinflip calls (Jandiroba, Ewing, Delano, Pereira, Kamaka) went 5/5, indicating model wasn't overreaching on uncertain fights.

### What We Missed
- **High-confidence finish miss:** Vannata (67.8%) lost by KO/TKO to Flowers. This was the only pick above 65% that failed and warrants attention as a potential blind spot around Vannata's durability or Flowers' power.
- **Bekoev vs Gore:** Model favored Bekoev (57.1%) but Gore won via submission—possible underestimation of Gore's grappling threat.
- **Moicano v...