Transparency · Same Exam
Public Scoreboard
FightEdge, markets, experts, sentiment, and community picks graded with honest sample labels.
Current Leader
47 graded
1
Closing favorite
76.6% hit rate · Brier 0.184
Scoring Note
Rows only grade samples that have the needed source data.
Scoring Note
Brier appears where a source probability was stored; hit rate appears everywhere a side was scorable.
Primary Benchmarks
5 rows
| Source | Record | Hit Rate | Brier | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FightEdge model
prediction_log
|
80/125 | 64.0% | 0.240 | Published model winner picks, deduped by fight pair. |
|
Closing favorite
closing odds
|
36/47 | 76.6% | 0.184 | Benchmark that always takes the closing-market favorite when closing probability is stored. |
|
Expert consensus
expert snapshots
|
8/12 | Sample building (8/12) | 0.250 | Consensus picks captured inside model snapshots when available. |
|
Reddit lean
sentiment snapshots
|
2/12 | Sample building (2/12) | Not tracked | r/MMA/social sentiment lean when the prediction snapshot carried a usable side. |
|
Lock-or-Fade community
challenge_picks
|
111/196 | 56.6% | Not tracked | Member picks from the free community game. This grades individual picks, not a per-fight majority yet. |
Scraped Expert Sources
0 sources
Expert-source records will appear after the scraper has graded completed picks.